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2015/02/11 Developed Asia–Pacific telecoms market: interim forecast update 2014–2019

 Growth in mobile handset data revenue will offset the decline in voice and SMS, resulting in a small total retail revenue growth.

Data-related revenue (such as mobile handset data, mobile and fixed broadband) will be the key growth drivers of telecoms service revenue in the mature and saturating Developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP) market. LTE and fixed broadband adoption is expected to increase across the region while voice and messaging will continue to decline.

 

This report and accompanying data annex provide:

  • an interim update of our 5-year forecast of more than 100 mobile and fixed key performance indicators (KPIs) for the DVAP region, which was previously published in March 2014
  • revised forecasts based on the latest available data, which covers the period to June 2014
  • an explanation of the significant changes in this edition, compared with our previous forecasts
  • a extension of the forecast period to 2019.

 

Coverage

Geographical coverage

 

Major KPIs

Region modelled

  • Developed Asia–Pacific

Countries modelled individually

  • Australia
  • Hong Kong
  • Japan
  • Singapore
  • South Korea
  • Taiwan

Countries not modelled individually, but modelled as part of the region as a whole

Brunei, French Polynesia, Guam, Macau, New Caledonia, New Zealand, Northern Mariana Islands

 

 

 

Connections

Mobile

  • Handset, mobile broadband1, M2M2
  • Prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G
  • Smartphone,
    non-smartphone

Fixed

  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up
  • Narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

Voice traffic

Fixed and mobile

  • Outgoing minutes, MoU
 

Revenue

Mobile

  • Service3, retail
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset, mobile broadband1, M2M2
  • Handset voice, messaging, data

Fixed

  • Service3, retail
  • Voice, broadband, IPTV, dial-up, BNS
  • DSL, FTTH/B, cable, BFWA, other

ARPU

Mobile

  • SIMs, handset
  • Prepaid, contract
  • Handset voice
Source: Analysys Mason
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